https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-market-faq
https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2018/07/26/prediction-markets-when-do-they-work/
https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/prediction-markets
https://www.manifest.is/
https://manifold.markets/
Example: https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-we-get-hallucination-rates-dow#